Is today's S&P 500 move unusual?
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close on 4 Nov 2026: +1.58%
Unusual — at or above the 90th percentile of the past year
Size of the move vs the previous 252 sessions: bigger than 94% of them. Usual size (middle half): 0.24% to 0.83%.
Last 20 sessions
| Date | One-day change | Bigger than (past year) | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | +1.58% | 94% | unusual |
| 3 Nov 2026 | +0.36% | 37% | usual |
| 2 Nov 2026 | -0.51% | 51% | usual |
| 30 Oct 2026 | -1.82% | 98% | unusual |
| 29 Oct 2026 | -0.30% | 34% | usual |
| 28 Oct 2026 | +0.28% | 31% | usual |
| 27 Oct 2026 | +0.60% | 58% | usual |
| 26 Oct 2026 | +0.70% | 65% | usual |
| 23 Oct 2026 | -0.52% | 51% | usual |
| 22 Oct 2026 | -1.21% | 88% | larger |
| 21 Oct 2026 | +0.58% | 56% | usual |
| 20 Oct 2026 | +0.28% | 32% | usual |
| 19 Oct 2026 | +0.41% | 42% | usual |
| 16 Oct 2026 | -1.09% | 84% | larger |
| 15 Oct 2026 | +0.33% | 35% | usual |
| 14 Oct 2026 | -1.11% | 84% | larger |
| 13 Oct 2026 | -0.02% | 4% | quieter |
| 12 Oct 2026 | -0.06% | 8% | quieter |
| 9 Oct 2026 | +0.59% | 58% | usual |
| 8 Oct 2026 | -0.47% | 47% | usual |