XLF's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1408 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Apr 2025-7.3%+6.8%+13.5%+21.1%
3 Apr 2025-4.9%-2.7%+5.1%+13.3%
9 Mar 2023-4.1%-4.6%-4.4%-1.2%
13 Mar 2023-3.9%-1.5%+2.0%+4.8%
10 Apr 2025-3.9%+2.0%+11.2%+16.1%
13 Sep 2022-3.7%-1.7%-9.2%+4.9%
1 Mar 2022-3.7%-3.9%+5.7%-4.4%
7 Mar 2022-3.7%+2.8%+5.4%-2.5%
10 Jun 2022-3.6%-4.9%-3.7%+6.5%
4 Mar 2025-3.5%-4.6%+0.5%+4.7%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 8 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 Apr 2025+9.9%-2.4%+4.7%+10.8%
6 Nov 2024+6.1%+0.4%+1.7%+3.8%
10 Nov 2022+5.0%-1.4%-1.7%+3.7%
13 Oct 2022+4.1%-0.9%+13.7%+14.5%
4 Oct 2022+3.7%-6.1%+4.0%+7.8%
24 Jun 2022+3.7%-1.4%+0.5%-4.0%
9 Mar 2022+3.7%+3.9%+1.5%-6.4%
4 Nov 2026+3.5%pendingpendingpending
15 Jul 2022+3.4%+3.1%+11.9%-0.8%
22 Apr 2025+3.3%+3.2%+7.3%+13.7%

XLF in the rare moves record