XEL's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 5 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1405 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 10 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
29 Feb 2024-8.6%-5.0%+2.2%+4.2%
1 Mar 2024-5.9%+2.9%+10.3%+13.1%
4 Apr 2025-5.9%+2.5%+4.7%+0.3%
29 Sep 2022-5.2%-5.4%+0.0%+9.5%
5 Mar 2024-4.7%+6.7%+11.7%+16.4%
10 Jan 2025-4.5%+5.3%+6.0%+10.7%
12 May 2025-4.0%+6.5%+0.7%+7.7%
6 Oct 2022-3.9%-3.4%+6.0%+16.1%
1 Jun 2026-3.9%+1.6%+4.3%-0.9%
2 Oct 2023-3.8%+4.8%+7.7%+16.3%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
24 Sep 2025+6.7%+3.1%+3.2%-5.0%
31 Oct 2024+6.0%-0.9%+6.6%+1.6%
10 Nov 2022+5.3%-2.9%+3.6%+0.1%
30 Apr 2026+5.2%-3.0%-7.9%-5.7%
5 Apr 2023+3.9%-0.1%-2.2%-10.8%
11 Mar 2024+3.7%-0.6%+2.7%+5.5%
25 Feb 2022+3.7%+6.0%+6.7%+12.3%
15 May 2025+3.6%-2.9%-5.5%+1.8%
13 Dec 2023+3.5%-3.2%-3.0%-16.3%
24 Mar 2023+3.5%+2.9%+8.6%-3.3%

XEL in the rare moves record