VRSK's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 5 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1405 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
29 Oct 2025-10.4%+2.9%+8.2%+4.5%
3 Feb 2026-10.1%-12.0%+9.7%-6.3%
31 Jul 2024-8.5%-0.6%+3.8%+0.9%
5 May 2021-8.4%-0.4%+0.0%+8.8%
2 Nov 2022-6.7%+0.3%+9.5%+6.5%
4 Apr 2025-6.6%+2.4%+3.9%+6.3%
30 Jul 2025-6.3%-3.8%-3.4%-15.7%
16 Oct 2025-6.1%+2.5%-5.8%-3.8%
30 Jul 2026-6.0%-5.3%-4.3%-5.3%
10 Aug 2026-5.5%-3.1%-1.8%pending

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
3 May 2023+7.9%+5.1%+8.5%+13.1%
1 May 2024+6.8%+5.1%+8.6%+12.4%
10 Nov 2022+6.6%-6.0%+0.4%-1.0%
29 Apr 2026+6.5%-9.2%-7.0%+6.5%
14 Sep 2026+6.1%-8.0%-5.5%pending
22 Oct 2026+5.7%-6.2%pendingpending
18 May 2026+5.5%+0.0%+2.2%+4.3%
24 Feb 2026+5.3%+12.3%-3.2%-10.2%
1 Jun 2026+5.1%-2.7%-0.1%+5.3%
16 Jul 2026+5.0%-4.1%-9.8%-10.4%

VRSK in the rare moves record