UNP's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
20 Oct 2022-6.8%+5.1%+12.9%+13.4%
3 Apr 2025-6.1%-2.1%-3.3%+5.7%
1 Apr 2022-4.8%-6.9%-10.7%-18.7%
4 Apr 2025-4.8%+2.5%-0.0%+11.6%
24 Jul 2025-4.5%+0.7%+3.3%+2.1%
28 May 2026-4.4%-1.2%+2.1%+15.2%
24 Oct 2024-4.4%+0.6%+5.0%+8.6%
8 Jul 2021-4.4%+0.7%+1.0%-2.2%
11 Mar 2025-4.2%-0.3%-6.0%-4.1%
22 Apr 2022-4.1%-0.0%-7.4%-6.7%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 1 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
26 Jul 2023+10.4%-3.3%-6.5%-13.2%
27 Feb 2023+10.1%-1.6%-7.3%-9.0%
23 Apr 2026+8.8%-0.7%-2.0%+13.3%
9 Apr 2025+7.3%-3.1%-3.2%+5.8%
12 May 2025+6.7%-0.6%-1.6%-4.7%
6 Nov 2024+6.3%-3.3%-6.0%-1.1%
23 Jan 2025+5.2%+0.8%-2.3%-12.7%
25 Apr 2024+5.0%-2.4%-4.7%-0.7%
10 Nov 2022+4.7%-1.5%+1.3%-2.7%
6 Jan 2023+4.4%+0.6%-1.4%-5.8%

UNP in the rare moves record