TM's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 5 Nov 2026 (1407 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | -7.5% | -5.4% | +6.0% | -0.7% |
| 7 Mar 2022 | -6.2% | +0.6% | +12.3% | +4.6% |
| 11 May 2022 | -5.6% | -1.0% | +2.7% | +1.0% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | -5.6% | +6.8% | +21.3% | +7.3% |
| 21 Apr 2026 | -5.2% | -5.4% | -6.9% | -11.8% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | -5.2% | -0.5% | +14.5% | -0.1% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | -4.9% | -2.2% | -7.7% | -19.0% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | -4.7% | +1.7% | +9.6% | -7.5% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | -4.7% | -1.5% | +1.2% | -5.8% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | -4.7% | -4.8% | -9.7% | -22.3% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 9, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | +13.6% | -5.4% | +2.1% | +4.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | +9.4% | pending | pending | pending |
| 9 Apr 2025 | +9.3% | +0.6% | +7.7% | -2.2% |
| 26 Dec 2024 | +8.8% | -1.1% | -5.3% | -8.8% |
| 6 Feb 2024 | +7.8% | +5.5% | +13.3% | +6.9% |
| 4 Jan 2022 | +6.9% | +1.4% | +0.2% | -9.7% |
| 5 Mar 2025 | +6.5% | -3.5% | -10.9% | -0.4% |
| 1 Nov 2023 | +6.1% | -1.3% | +3.7% | +9.0% |
| 13 Jun 2023 | +5.7% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +16.4% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | +5.6% | -0.8% | -12.1% | -18.9% |