TLT's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1408 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 3 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2022 | -3.4% | -0.0% | -3.2% | -14.8% |
| 13 Jun 2022 | -3.1% | -0.0% | +4.8% | -2.3% |
| 1 May 2023 | -3.1% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -4.8% |
| 7 Apr 2025 | -3.0% | -2.8% | -2.4% | -3.5% |
| 10 Apr 2025 | -2.8% | +1.3% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
| 5 May 2022 | -2.7% | +2.0% | -1.3% | +1.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | -2.7% | -0.4% | +4.6% | -1.3% |
| 12 Oct 2023 | -2.7% | -3.8% | +2.2% | +12.1% |
| 27 Sep 2022 | -2.6% | +2.6% | -4.4% | -0.8% |
| 3 Jan 2022 | -2.6% | -1.2% | -1.5% | -8.9% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 10, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2022 | +3.8% | +2.1% | +8.6% | +6.1% |
| 10 Mar 2023 | +3.4% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -3.5% |
| 28 Sep 2022 | +3.3% | -1.7% | -6.6% | -4.6% |
| 2 Aug 2024 | +3.1% | -2.1% | -0.5% | -5.9% |
| 1 Dec 2022 | +2.9% | +3.2% | -4.1% | -4.4% |
| 25 Oct 2022 | +2.9% | +1.8% | +8.6% | +12.5% |
| 22 Jun 2022 | +2.8% | +0.6% | +4.7% | -4.6% |
| 25 Nov 2024 | +2.6% | +0.4% | -5.3% | -0.3% |
| 26 Nov 2021 | +2.5% | +2.5% | -1.5% | -7.1% |
| 2 May 2023 | +2.5% | -2.5% | -2.4% | -8.1% |