TER's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1408 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
27 Jan 2022-22.4%+0.6%+6.0%+0.4%
29 Apr 2026-19.4%+24.9%+22.2%+19.3%
11 Mar 2025-17.1%+2.1%-8.8%+1.9%
2 Jul 2026-13.6%-2.6%-0.9%+12.6%
25 Jul 2024-13.4%-2.1%+9.3%+0.1%
14 Sep 2026-13.3%+15.9%+15.5%pending
5 Jun 2026-12.0%+12.6%-1.8%-0.3%
1 Jul 2026-11.7%-15.1%-14.0%-6.2%
24 Oct 2024-11.0%-4.1%-2.3%+10.1%
6 Mar 2026-10.6%+4.9%+17.4%+31.1%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
29 Oct 2025+20.5%+7.8%+4.6%+38.6%
30 Jul 2025+18.9%-2.6%+9.5%+34.1%
9 Apr 2025+16.9%-10.4%-2.5%+22.2%
30 Jul 2026+14.4%+5.3%-2.9%-14.3%
3 Feb 2026+13.4%+7.7%+8.0%+26.2%
22 Sep 2025+12.8%-0.6%+6.0%+44.4%
30 Apr 2026+12.1%+3.1%+7.6%+7.1%
21 Jul 2026+12.1%-14.3%+1.5%-10.3%
8 Apr 2026+11.8%+1.9%-1.2%+1.2%
28 Oct 2021+11.3%+5.5%+12.7%-18.2%

TER in the rare moves record