ROP's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 5 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1405 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
27 Jan 2026-9.6%-5.5%-4.6%-4.1%
24 Jul 2024-7.4%+2.4%+2.6%+3.9%
4 Apr 2025-6.4%+3.4%+5.1%+4.4%
3 Feb 2026-6.4%+0.0%+4.9%+2.2%
23 Oct 2025-5.7%-7.6%-7.5%-14.9%
18 May 2022-4.9%+3.5%-8.9%+5.6%
30 Jul 2026-4.6%+2.0%+9.5%+13.2%
5 May 2022-4.5%-3.3%-4.1%-2.5%
31 Jan 2024-4.4%+2.2%+2.0%-4.0%
11 Feb 2026-4.3%-0.5%+5.2%-5.3%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 8 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
22 Oct 2026+9.7%+3.1%pendingpending
9 Apr 2025+6.7%+0.5%+3.0%-1.0%
1 Jun 2026+5.8%-3.1%+3.0%+23.4%
23 Jul 2026+5.5%+9.6%+16.0%+12.0%
10 Nov 2022+5.3%-2.0%+0.3%-1.8%
27 Apr 2023+5.1%+0.1%-0.7%+8.9%
30 Jan 2025+5.1%+2.2%+2.7%-2.1%
1 Jul 2026+4.8%+0.4%+10.5%-1.5%
16 Jul 2026+4.5%-2.5%+9.6%+2.3%
29 Jul 2026+4.4%-3.3%+3.6%+6.5%

ROP in the rare moves record