PHM's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 3 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2022 | -8.0% | +11.4% | +22.8% | +8.5% |
| 4 Feb 2022 | -7.8% | -1.8% | -5.5% | -11.9% |
| 22 Oct 2024 | -7.2% | -3.2% | -4.3% | -13.4% |
| 13 Sep 2022 | -7.0% | +2.0% | -0.1% | +14.8% |
| 12 May 2021 | -6.9% | +0.3% | -1.7% | +0.2% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | -6.3% | -4.2% | +6.1% | +10.9% |
| 18 May 2022 | -6.3% | +3.2% | -12.6% | +5.3% |
| 7 Mar 2022 | -6.3% | -4.0% | -9.2% | -2.2% |
| 19 Oct 2022 | -6.2% | +4.6% | +15.3% | +37.0% |
| 8 Sep 2021 | -6.1% | -3.9% | -3.5% | +10.7% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 9, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2022 | +13.5% | -2.1% | +2.4% | +31.6% |
| 22 Jul 2025 | +11.5% | -3.4% | +4.4% | +1.7% |
| 31 Jan 2023 | +9.4% | +2.1% | -4.6% | +15.9% |
| 22 Apr 2025 | +8.4% | +0.8% | -1.8% | +18.5% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | +7.3% | -1.5% | +3.9% | -7.9% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | +7.2% | -2.3% | -5.1% | -12.5% |
| 4 Nov 2026 | +7.2% | pending | pending | pending |
| 16 Jul 2024 | +7.2% | +0.9% | -2.2% | +14.6% |
| 14 Nov 2023 | +7.1% | -0.6% | +19.4% | +19.2% |
| 14 Dec 2023 | +7.1% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +5.4% |