NVR's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | -7.3% | -0.7% | -12.1% | -25.9% |
| 23 Jan 2024 | -6.4% | +2.6% | +8.6% | +12.9% |
| 16 Jun 2022 | -6.1% | +10.3% | +21.5% | +11.3% |
| 13 Jun 2022 | -5.5% | -3.6% | +10.6% | +3.1% |
| 18 May 2022 | -5.3% | +1.3% | -10.6% | +7.3% |
| 13 Sep 2022 | -5.2% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +15.7% |
| 5 May 2022 | -5.1% | -4.5% | -0.6% | -1.9% |
| 5 Sep 2023 | -5.0% | -0.2% | -3.9% | +3.3% |
| 8 Apr 2025 | -4.9% | +7.5% | +7.9% | +14.8% |
| 7 Apr 2025 | -4.9% | +2.8% | +0.7% | +9.3% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 8, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 8 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2022 | +11.2% | -3.1% | +3.8% | +14.8% |
| 22 Jul 2025 | +7.2% | -1.1% | +1.5% | -2.9% |
| 9 Apr 2025 | +6.3% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +7.2% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | +5.9% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -7.7% |
| 11 Jul 2024 | +5.9% | +4.2% | +5.4% | +19.3% |
| 4 Nov 2026 | +5.8% | pending | pending | pending |
| 25 Oct 2022 | +5.7% | -0.7% | +5.2% | +19.5% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | +5.3% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +14.5% |
| 2 Nov 2026 | +5.1% | pending | pending | pending |
| 31 Jan 2023 | +5.0% | -2.0% | -1.0% | +11.7% |