NSC's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

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Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 6 Nov 2026 (1408 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
3 Apr 2025-7.5%-2.4%+1.3%+18.5%
8 Jul 2021-7.2%+3.8%+1.3%+3.9%
1 Apr 2022-6.8%-2.9%-3.7%-15.3%
20 Oct 2022-5.9%+9.1%+21.1%+25.9%
18 May 2022-5.6%-2.1%-6.8%+9.4%
28 May 2026-5.5%-0.2%+2.8%+13.0%
25 Oct 2023-5.3%+2.4%+17.0%+27.0%
25 Jan 2023-5.0%+2.4%-7.0%-16.8%
30 Apr 2024-4.6%+1.5%-3.6%+9.0%
8 Mar 2022-4.5%+0.9%-3.3%-5.7%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
26 Jul 2024+10.9%-1.0%-1.4%+3.1%
6 Nov 2024+9.9%-2.8%-5.9%-8.0%
1 Feb 2024+9.1%-0.5%+1.5%-7.9%
23 Apr 2026+7.7%-1.7%-2.1%+9.1%
9 Apr 2025+7.6%-3.6%+1.3%+20.8%
12 May 2025+7.0%+1.9%+5.1%+16.4%
2 Mar 2022+5.5%-2.0%+5.9%-9.7%
10 Nov 2022+5.4%+1.1%+4.1%-0.8%
23 Jul 2026+5.3%-4.2%+0.6%-5.9%
22 Oct 2024+4.9%-3.1%-0.0%-1.7%

NSC in the rare moves record