NI's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 5 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1405 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 10 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Apr 2025-6.4%+3.4%+6.5%+5.5%
2 Oct 2023-6.1%+8.5%+9.6%+17.7%
7 Nov 2022-5.9%+5.7%+13.5%+10.9%
13 Jun 2022-5.0%-5.5%+0.6%+5.0%
5 Jul 2022-5.0%+0.5%+6.9%-8.2%
4 Sep 2025-4.7%+3.3%+10.0%+5.1%
29 Sep 2022-4.6%-3.3%+0.6%+8.2%
6 Oct 2022-4.1%+0.6%+4.1%+11.0%
5 Aug 2024-3.9%+3.2%+8.7%+13.7%
27 Jan 2025-3.7%+4.1%+10.8%+10.0%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
10 Nov 2022+4.8%-2.0%+7.6%+5.0%
14 Nov 2023+4.7%+0.2%+2.7%+1.0%
28 Jan 2022+4.6%+0.3%-1.3%+1.1%
13 Oct 2022+4.3%-4.3%+3.2%+11.1%
31 May 2024+3.9%-2.7%-1.7%+14.7%
16 Oct 2026+3.5%+1.4%pendingpending
4 Oct 2022+3.4%-7.5%-3.9%+4.2%
3 Oct 2023+3.4%+6.3%+7.1%+13.4%
5 Apr 2023+3.3%-1.2%+0.4%-3.2%
3 Oct 2022+3.3%-5.7%+0.2%+6.5%

NI in the rare moves record