NEM's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 5 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1405 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
24 Oct 2024-14.7%-7.7%-11.9%-15.5%
25 Jul 2022-13.2%+0.8%-0.1%-3.7%
30 Jan 2026-11.5%+2.6%+5.5%-3.3%
21 Oct 2025-9.0%-8.1%+1.4%+41.0%
4 Apr 2025-8.6%+24.4%+23.6%+31.0%
5 Jun 2026-8.0%+0.5%-6.5%+28.5%
3 Mar 2026-7.9%+0.3%-4.0%-7.6%
17 Oct 2025-7.6%-8.2%-4.1%+31.0%
22 Feb 2024-7.6%+1.2%+10.2%+38.3%
5 Feb 2026-7.1%+8.8%+7.8%+4.6%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
25 Apr 2024+12.5%-5.4%-3.3%+8.3%
4 Nov 2026+9.9%pendingpendingpending
16 Dec 2021+8.8%+0.9%+3.8%+26.3%
24 Apr 2026+8.7%-10.0%-7.5%-22.6%
4 Nov 2022+8.5%+13.5%+15.0%+20.3%
9 Apr 2025+8.4%+14.8%+10.7%+23.9%
11 Apr 2025+7.9%+0.4%-8.9%+4.8%
19 Aug 2026+7.8%+5.2%-1.3%pending
7 Aug 2026+7.2%+4.2%+12.5%pending
10 Nov 2022+7.1%-3.7%+1.2%+5.3%

NEM in the rare moves record