MTD's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | -14.8% | -8.3% | +3.4% | +27.0% |
| 9 May 2022 | -9.1% | +3.1% | +8.2% | +9.9% |
| 8 Nov 2024 | -7.2% | -10.0% | -3.0% | +0.2% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | -6.6% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +18.0% |
| 25 Apr 2023 | -6.6% | +2.2% | -10.7% | -9.2% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | -6.6% | -8.9% | -0.4% | +8.5% |
| 10 Apr 2025 | -6.0% | +0.7% | +17.7% | +19.7% |
| 11 Feb 2022 | -6.0% | -1.5% | -7.8% | -12.3% |
| 12 Oct 2023 | -5.9% | -2.7% | +0.2% | +13.5% |
| 8 Apr 2025 | -5.8% | +7.6% | +13.3% | +27.1% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2024 | +17.0% | +0.8% | -4.6% | -8.7% |
| 9 Apr 2025 | +9.2% | -4.2% | +1.8% | +15.3% |
| 12 May 2025 | +8.7% | -1.3% | +1.6% | +10.1% |
| 10 Nov 2022 | +8.5% | -4.2% | +2.5% | +7.3% |
| 28 May 2026 | +6.4% | +1.5% | +8.2% | +21.0% |
| 21 Jul 2022 | +6.3% | +4.7% | +7.5% | -5.9% |
| 27 May 2022 | +5.4% | -1.7% | -13.6% | -7.1% |
| 9 Mar 2022 | +5.4% | -2.1% | -1.4% | -6.8% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | +5.1% | +3.0% | +6.8% | +8.1% |
| 13 Dec 2023 | +5.0% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +13.1% |