MOS's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 5 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1405 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
6 Aug 2025-13.3%+4.1%+4.9%-14.2%
9 May 2022-12.8%+12.9%+1.9%-3.1%
4 May 2023-10.0%-6.8%-13.3%+7.5%
20 Mar 2026-10.0%+6.0%+2.6%-6.7%
14 Oct 2022-9.9%+13.3%+13.4%+1.1%
4 Apr 2025-9.7%+10.1%+29.9%+60.1%
23 Jun 2022-9.6%+4.4%+11.6%+16.4%
21 Apr 2022-9.4%-4.9%-15.6%-30.4%
10 Oct 2025-9.2%-3.4%-14.7%-15.3%
2 Nov 2021-9.2%-0.3%-7.8%+17.6%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Nov 2026+17.4%pendingpendingpending
11 Mar 2026+10.1%-4.7%-15.1%-32.0%
25 Feb 2022+9.2%+21.1%+37.5%+19.3%
1 Feb 2022+9.1%+3.1%+28.0%+55.9%
3 May 2022+8.7%-15.0%-11.2%-21.8%
9 Apr 2025+8.4%+9.3%+32.4%+48.6%
21 Mar 2022+8.2%+1.1%+12.8%-23.1%
13 Jan 2025+8.0%+1.1%-2.5%+0.0%
10 Nov 2022+7.8%-6.6%-11.4%-5.8%
10 Mar 2022+7.7%-1.8%+18.8%-13.5%

MOS in the rare moves record