META's biggest one-day moves since 2012, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 18 May 2012 to 4 Nov 2026 (3637 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
3 Feb 2022-26.4%-4.1%-21.2%-12.4%
27 Oct 2022-24.6%-9.2%+11.1%+50.2%
26 Jul 2018-19.0%+0.1%-0.9%-17.1%
16 Mar 2020-14.3%+1.4%+21.2%+59.2%
27 Jul 2012-11.7%-11.1%-19.2%-4.9%
30 Oct 2025-11.3%-7.1%-3.8%+6.0%
21 May 2012-11.0%-15.3%-7.1%-41.2%
25 Apr 2024-10.6%+0.1%+8.3%+5.5%
29 May 2012-9.6%-10.3%+11.8%-33.6%
13 Sep 2022-9.4%-4.6%-16.7%-25.1%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
25 Jul 2013+29.6%+9.1%+18.0%+51.0%
2 Feb 2023+23.3%-5.7%-2.1%+23.7%
2 Feb 2024+20.3%-1.4%+3.2%-4.8%
24 Oct 2012+19.1%-8.8%+12.6%+32.5%
28 Apr 2022+17.6%+1.2%-5.2%-22.7%
28 Jan 2016+15.5%+1.3%-2.0%+7.0%
9 Apr 2025+14.8%-14.2%+1.1%+22.5%
30 Jan 2014+14.1%+1.8%+10.4%+0.1%
27 Apr 2023+13.9%-2.1%+9.8%+36.4%
14 Nov 2012+12.6%+8.8%+19.9%+26.7%

META in the rare moves record