MCO's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Apr 2025-9.0%+6.5%+15.0%+24.2%
3 Feb 2026-8.9%-11.1%-0.2%-3.5%
13 Feb 2024-7.9%+1.8%+4.1%+9.1%
10 Feb 2026-6.8%+7.6%+1.8%+7.8%
1 Jun 2022-6.4%+0.5%-2.6%+1.0%
3 Apr 2025-6.1%-4.4%+5.0%+13.8%
18 Sep 2025-5.8%-2.0%-2.3%+3.5%
25 Jan 2022-5.5%+5.8%-0.7%-1.6%
14 Nov 2022-5.4%-0.6%+1.6%+6.0%
11 Feb 2022-5.1%-2.6%-7.5%-12.8%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 8, 3 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 8 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
10 Nov 2022+12.1%-1.5%-0.9%+6.8%
9 Apr 2025+10.6%-2.9%+7.3%+14.1%
18 Feb 2026+6.5%+2.8%-3.3%-3.6%
5 Jan 2026+5.6%+1.6%-12.5%-16.9%
11 Nov 2022+5.5%-5.8%-2.6%-0.2%
25 Oct 2022+5.2%+2.6%+15.9%+23.8%
4 Nov 2026+4.9%pendingpendingpending
2 Jul 2026+4.7%-0.7%-1.5%-8.9%
6 Jan 2023+4.7%+8.6%+9.7%+2.3%
15 Oct 2026+4.5%+1.5%pendingpending

MCO in the rare moves record