MCD's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Apr 2025-5.7%+3.3%+5.6%-2.3%
23 Oct 2024-5.1%-2.4%-3.4%-1.2%
7 Mar 2022-4.9%+0.8%+10.8%+11.2%
23 Sep 2026-4.8%-3.1%+6.0%pending
18 May 2022-4.4%+5.6%+2.0%+16.0%
13 Mar 2024-3.9%+0.6%-5.5%-9.4%
5 Feb 2024-3.7%+1.2%+3.0%-5.3%
25 Jun 2026-3.4%+6.1%+2.3%-10.4%
11 Mar 2025-3.3%-1.0%-0.9%-1.5%
18 Mar 2026-3.2%-1.3%-1.4%-10.1%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 3 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Nov 2026+6.5%pendingpendingpending
10 Feb 2025+4.8%-1.2%-2.4%+1.7%
2 Jul 2026+4.2%-2.1%-5.5%-17.4%
13 Oct 2022+4.1%+1.2%+10.0%+9.6%
29 Jul 2024+3.7%+2.7%+10.8%+12.6%
28 Oct 2022+3.5%+0.0%-1.1%-2.0%
7 Mar 2025+3.5%-6.7%-6.7%-3.8%
4 May 2022+3.4%-3.9%-1.8%+3.1%
22 Apr 2025+3.4%-1.4%-0.8%-6.0%
27 Oct 2022+3.3%+3.0%+2.9%+2.8%

MCD in the rare moves record