MAR's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
3 Apr 2025-7.4%-0.8%+10.1%+24.3%
7 Mar 2022-7.0%+9.3%+17.5%+20.2%
3 Aug 2026-7.0%+0.5%-3.5%+15.1%
18 May 2022-6.6%+3.6%-5.7%+7.4%
26 Nov 2021-6.5%+1.7%+13.1%+15.4%
16 Jun 2022-6.2%-4.0%+4.0%+6.9%
21 Sep 2022-5.6%-2.9%-0.4%+1.8%
13 Feb 2024-5.6%+3.8%+5.8%+0.6%
22 Sep 2022-5.4%+0.3%+9.5%+6.4%
11 Feb 2025-5.4%-0.2%-17.4%-4.6%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 Apr 2025+10.5%-6.3%+10.5%+21.0%
10 Feb 2026+8.5%-0.9%-12.0%-2.5%
13 Apr 2022+7.5%+4.9%-5.0%-18.2%
26 May 2022+6.7%+2.6%-18.5%-7.8%
6 Nov 2024+6.4%+3.7%+6.1%+10.5%
2 Dec 2021+6.0%+4.0%+8.5%+5.4%
21 Dec 2021+5.8%+5.2%-0.8%+5.9%
15 Feb 2022+5.8%-7.3%-5.5%-8.9%
10 Nov 2022+5.6%+1.3%+3.5%+10.7%
12 May 2025+5.4%+0.5%-1.9%-2.3%

MAR in the rare moves record