M's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

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Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 5 Nov 2026 (1407 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
22 Aug 2023-14.1%-3.2%-13.1%+19.9%
7 Mar 2022-13.6%+11.8%+16.0%+13.6%
3 Apr 2025-13.5%+0.4%+3.8%+10.8%
21 Aug 2024-12.9%-0.5%+0.2%-0.8%
15 Jul 2024-11.7%-1.8%-4.8%-5.2%
18 May 2022-10.7%+0.9%+5.2%+7.6%
16 Jun 2022-9.6%+5.8%-8.3%-14.9%
11 May 2022-8.9%-6.2%+13.6%-3.0%
30 Sep 2021-8.5%-0.3%+17.1%+19.5%
12 Dec 2023-8.3%+7.3%-1.8%+14.8%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
18 Nov 2021+21.2%-18.4%-36.5%-30.8%
3 Sep 2025+20.7%+4.7%+11.7%+39.5%
19 Aug 2021+19.6%+4.3%+0.5%+43.7%
11 Dec 2023+19.4%-2.6%-9.6%+1.7%
26 May 2022+19.3%+3.9%-14.8%-18.8%
9 Apr 2025+18.5%-7.2%-2.1%+7.2%
24 Jan 2022+18.0%-5.4%-14.5%-7.0%
18 Oct 2021+17.5%-5.0%+14.3%-10.2%
17 Nov 2022+15.0%+4.3%-10.6%-7.5%
14 May 2021+14.0%+0.7%+2.0%+4.6%

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