IR's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 9, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
1 Aug 2025-11.4%+1.2%+3.9%+5.0%
3 Apr 2025-10.0%-3.5%+4.7%+18.1%
1 Aug 2024-9.1%-0.8%+0.3%+6.7%
14 Feb 2025-7.4%-3.3%-4.8%-1.9%
4 Mar 2022-6.8%+2.8%+5.7%+5.5%
3 May 2024-6.6%+5.2%+1.5%+0.4%
22 Oct 2026-6.3%+8.0%pendingpending
15 Apr 2026-5.6%+0.4%-13.9%+1.7%
16 Jun 2022-5.6%+3.0%+2.8%+12.2%
4 Apr 2023-5.2%+2.1%+3.3%+15.1%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 Apr 2025+9.8%-2.7%+8.2%+21.4%
16 Jul 2026+7.1%-0.6%-1.7%-8.1%
27 Apr 2023+6.7%+0.2%+3.4%+12.7%
8 Apr 2026+6.4%-1.5%-8.5%-9.0%
12 May 2025+6.2%-0.8%-1.2%-6.9%
29 Oct 2026+6.0%pendingpendingpending
2 Nov 2023+5.8%+2.2%+9.8%+26.4%
24 Jun 2022+5.8%-2.4%+3.1%+1.7%
9 Mar 2022+5.7%+3.4%-1.7%+3.6%
2 Jun 2023+5.5%+1.8%+4.5%+14.0%

IR in the rare moves record