IEF's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1408 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 2 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
13 Jun 2022-1.8%+0.7%+3.5%-0.1%
26 Sep 2022-1.7%+1.8%-1.1%+1.6%
22 Sep 2022-1.5%-0.5%-3.7%+0.5%
2 Mar 2022-1.5%-0.3%-3.5%-7.9%
5 Aug 2022-1.4%+0.1%-4.0%-9.6%
1 May 2023-1.4%+0.8%-0.3%-3.4%
2 Aug 2022-1.4%-0.2%-3.1%-9.3%
10 Apr 2024-1.3%-0.1%+0.8%+2.9%
21 Mar 2022-1.3%-1.2%-4.1%-7.4%
2 Feb 2024-1.3%-1.1%-0.8%-3.2%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
28 Sep 2022+2.3%-0.5%-1.4%-1.0%
10 Nov 2022+2.2%+0.3%+1.6%+1.1%
10 Mar 2023+1.8%+2.0%+2.2%-0.4%
2 Aug 2024+1.5%-1.0%-0.3%-3.2%
14 Nov 2023+1.5%+0.3%+3.9%+1.8%
13 Dec 2023+1.5%+0.9%-0.1%-2.0%
15 Mar 2023+1.4%+0.3%-0.1%-2.5%
15 Jun 2022+1.4%+2.0%+2.9%-0.9%
18 Jan 2023+1.4%-0.5%-3.9%-1.8%
22 Mar 2023+1.3%-0.9%-0.7%-2.6%

IEF in the rare moves record