ICE's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 9 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | -7.8% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
| 5 May 2022 | -7.5% | -6.0% | -0.8% | +3.7% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | -6.5% | -0.5% | +11.8% | +15.8% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | -6.4% | +0.2% | +1.6% | +2.5% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | -5.8% | +1.1% | +0.6% | -4.8% |
| 8 Mar 2022 | -5.8% | +4.5% | +3.9% | -18.1% |
| 17 Jun 2022 | -4.8% | +9.2% | +9.0% | +7.8% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | -4.7% | -7.5% | +5.2% | +13.9% |
| 10 Mar 2023 | -4.7% | +2.1% | +11.7% | +15.8% |
| 25 Jun 2026 | -4.3% | +6.8% | +19.5% | +26.1% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 8, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 8 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2022 | +5.4% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +6.9% |
| 28 Jul 2022 | +5.2% | +4.8% | +1.0% | -8.1% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | +4.9% | +1.7% | +14.1% | +13.9% |
| 8 Feb 2024 | +4.7% | +2.1% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | +4.5% | pending | pending | pending |
| 6 Feb 2025 | +4.3% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +5.5% |
| 4 Aug 2022 | +4.3% | -0.8% | -5.7% | -13.5% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | +4.3% | -4.4% | -7.5% | pending |
| 22 Oct 2026 | +3.9% | -0.5% | pending | pending |
| 21 Jun 2022 | +3.9% | +3.1% | +6.0% | +1.5% |