HRL's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
28 Aug 2025-13.1%+1.7%-2.3%-7.9%
27 Aug 2026-10.2%+1.9%-6.2%pending
12 Oct 2023-9.8%-1.8%+0.3%-0.9%
30 May 2024-9.7%+0.3%-1.2%+5.5%
29 Oct 2025-9.1%+0.3%+8.0%+14.5%
18 May 2022-8.8%+1.5%-7.3%+6.2%
1 Sep 2022-6.6%-0.3%-1.7%+1.9%
4 Sep 2024-6.4%+1.1%+0.3%+3.6%
30 Jun 2026-5.7%-1.1%+2.2%-20.0%
1 Mar 2024-5.5%+2.2%+5.6%-6.4%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 8, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 8 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
29 Feb 2024+14.6%-3.8%-1.0%-12.1%
28 May 2026+12.5%-1.3%+11.5%-9.8%
20 May 2021+7.4%-1.5%-3.1%-5.4%
4 Nov 2026+7.1%pendingpendingpending
1 Jun 2023+5.1%+1.1%+1.0%-3.3%
9 Dec 2021+4.7%+9.8%+11.3%+13.3%
22 Oct 2026+4.5%-2.2%pendingpending
18 Feb 2026+4.4%+3.4%-8.6%-16.7%
14 Jan 2026+4.2%-0.5%-2.9%-14.7%
1 Mar 2022+4.0%+1.5%+4.0%-1.3%

HRL in the rare moves record