ESS's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 8 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1424 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 9, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Apr 2025-7.9%-2.8%+5.6%+6.5%
30 Jul 2025-7.6%-5.2%-0.2%-4.6%
10 Mar 2023-6.7%-2.0%+1.2%+12.1%
9 May 2022-5.6%-1.4%-6.3%-2.5%
30 Jul 2026-5.0%+1.2%+0.8%-7.3%
28 Oct 2026-4.9%+3.9%pendingpending
13 Jun 2022-4.7%-1.0%+2.1%+4.8%
26 Nov 2021-4.6%-1.2%+2.6%-6.3%
29 Apr 2022-4.6%-4.8%-13.8%-14.3%
5 Jan 2023-4.4%+7.1%+10.0%+3.0%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 8 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 Apr 2025+6.8%-0.0%+3.9%+6.4%
10 Nov 2022+5.4%-5.1%+0.0%+9.0%
14 Nov 2023+5.1%-1.6%+15.0%+9.6%
13 Dec 2023+4.7%+0.9%+5.3%+1.2%
28 Apr 2026+4.3%-0.4%+3.2%+10.8%
6 Jan 2023+4.3%+1.8%+7.3%-0.7%
2 Jun 2023+4.3%+2.5%+4.0%+5.0%
2 Feb 2023+4.3%-0.2%-1.0%-7.5%
14 Dec 2023+4.2%-2.6%-1.8%-3.5%
13 Jan 2025+4.1%+0.8%+2.6%-2.8%

ESS in the rare moves record