D's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 3 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1427 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
1 Mar 2024-6.4%+7.2%+8.8%+21.9%
4 Apr 2025-6.3%+0.0%+3.7%+8.1%
7 Nov 2022-6.2%-7.9%-6.8%-4.3%
14 Nov 2022-6.0%+2.7%+3.4%+1.6%
22 Jan 2025-5.3%+4.1%+8.5%+2.0%
2 Oct 2023-5.3%-0.3%-4.7%+16.3%
29 Sep 2022-5.1%-7.2%-2.3%-12.3%
4 Mar 2025-4.5%+1.5%+3.5%+5.6%
6 Oct 2022-4.4%-1.4%+1.8%-5.2%
30 Nov 2021-4.3%+6.9%+11.2%+13.6%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 8, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 8 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
18 May 2026+9.4%-0.4%+0.7%+1.6%
3 Nov 2023+6.2%+3.1%+7.8%+4.9%
9 Apr 2025+5.2%+1.6%+5.4%+11.2%
16 Oct 2024+5.1%+0.6%-7.2%-7.7%
23 Feb 2024+5.0%-5.1%+2.2%+11.3%
22 Oct 2026+4.9%-0.4%pendingpending
6 Nov 2023+4.5%-2.3%+5.2%-1.0%
19 Oct 2021+4.5%+1.8%+0.2%+6.0%
4 Nov 2026+4.4%pendingpendingpending
14 Nov 2023+4.4%-0.2%+7.3%-0.7%

D in the rare moves record