CPB's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 2 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
7 Jun 2023-8.9%-0.4%+0.6%-8.5%
18 May 2022-8.1%+3.8%-1.8%+10.7%
8 Mar 2022-7.1%+2.8%+7.0%+11.1%
11 Mar 2026-7.1%-8.1%-10.9%-0.3%
3 Sep 2026-6.9%-5.1%-12.8%pending
9 Jun 2021-6.5%-0.9%-0.6%-5.5%
4 Dec 2024-6.2%+0.7%-4.2%-0.6%
17 Feb 2026-5.8%-1.8%-24.1%-26.8%
12 Mar 2026-5.6%-2.9%-6.8%+5.0%
9 Dec 2025-5.2%+0.7%-7.2%-24.0%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 8, 2 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 8 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
22 Oct 2026+8.7%-1.2%pendingpending
3 Sep 2025+7.2%-0.7%-6.3%-11.4%
6 Dec 2023+7.1%+4.9%+2.4%-1.5%
7 Dec 2022+6.0%+1.5%+0.3%-5.9%
4 Nov 2026+5.9%pendingpendingpending
4 Feb 2026+5.7%+3.1%-9.3%-26.3%
1 Jul 2026+5.4%-8.5%-6.3%-15.5%
7 Mar 2025+5.1%-8.1%-8.0%-16.7%
27 Mar 2026+5.0%+0.1%-6.6%+4.6%
24 Jun 2026+4.9%+5.5%-1.8%-8.5%

CPB in the rare moves record