CF's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 8 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1424 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 8 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
17 Apr 2026-9.6%+7.3%+11.1%+9.7%
23 Jun 2022-9.0%+6.4%+12.0%+26.5%
9 May 2022-9.0%+18.2%-0.7%+13.4%
4 Apr 2025-8.5%-1.5%+12.2%+33.7%
14 Oct 2022-8.4%+9.5%+10.3%-12.0%
7 Aug 2025-7.8%+2.9%+1.9%+2.6%
23 Sep 2022-7.6%+2.6%+11.0%-3.8%
24 Jan 2025-7.5%+4.7%-10.4%-10.4%
16 Mar 2022-7.1%+17.5%+23.0%+4.9%
14 Feb 2022-6.5%+3.3%+23.4%+50.4%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 2 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
12 Mar 2026+13.2%-7.7%-10.5%-21.6%
1 Oct 2021+9.5%-0.1%-5.8%+16.3%
11 Mar 2026+9.2%+5.5%+1.0%-9.0%
8 Aug 2024+8.5%+0.9%-0.7%+5.1%
11 May 2026+8.2%+0.6%-12.2%-5.4%
1 Feb 2022+8.1%-1.7%+17.4%+35.7%
14 Jun 2022+7.9%-5.0%-9.3%+11.0%
13 Jan 2025+7.6%-1.9%-15.0%-23.7%
21 Dec 2021+6.9%+7.5%-3.8%+51.6%
22 Nov 2022+6.7%-1.4%-18.0%-21.6%

CF in the rare moves record