CAT's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 5 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1405 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 9, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
29 Oct 2026-9.3%pendingpendingpending
3 Apr 2025-8.6%-5.4%+6.2%+28.7%
25 Apr 2024-7.0%-0.8%+3.2%+4.1%
29 Jul 2026-6.9%+11.3%+4.4%-8.9%
1 Jul 2026-6.9%-5.3%-17.8%-18.2%
31 Oct 2023-6.7%+3.9%+10.9%+36.7%
22 Apr 2022-6.5%-2.7%-5.6%-15.4%
10 Jun 2026-6.4%+11.7%+8.8%-6.0%
2 Aug 2022-5.8%+1.4%+0.7%+18.7%
10 Mar 2023-5.8%-5.3%-2.8%+4.1%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
29 Oct 2025+11.6%-2.8%-1.7%+12.3%
30 Apr 2026+9.9%+0.6%-2.8%-8.5%
9 Apr 2025+9.9%-3.6%+8.7%+35.5%
1 Aug 2023+8.9%-2.0%-2.2%-15.7%
6 Nov 2024+8.7%-7.2%-5.2%-12.6%
2 Jun 2023+8.4%+3.7%+8.0%+26.9%
27 Oct 2022+7.7%+3.4%+9.5%+23.9%
6 Feb 2026+7.1%+6.6%-1.3%+23.6%
8 Mar 2022+6.8%+3.1%+3.0%+8.7%
8 Apr 2026+6.5%-0.2%+16.1%+21.6%

CAT in the rare moves record