BND's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1408 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 3 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
13 Jun 2022-1.6%+0.4%+2.2%-0.4%
26 Sep 2022-1.3%+1.0%-1.4%+2.0%
1 May 2023-1.3%+0.4%-0.1%-1.9%
2 Mar 2022-1.2%-0.4%-2.1%-6.2%
7 Apr 2025-1.2%-0.7%-0.0%+0.2%
10 Apr 2024-1.2%-0.2%+0.8%+2.5%
5 Aug 2022-1.1%+0.4%-3.2%-8.1%
27 Mar 2023-1.0%+0.8%+0.8%-0.9%
22 Sep 2022-1.0%-1.0%-3.7%+1.0%
21 Mar 2022-1.0%-0.5%-3.2%-6.8%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
10 Nov 2022+2.1%+0.5%+2.3%+2.2%
28 Sep 2022+1.6%-0.4%-1.6%0.0%
13 Dec 2023+1.3%+0.9%-0.0%-1.3%
14 Nov 2023+1.2%+0.5%+4.3%+2.4%
10 Mar 2023+1.2%+1.4%+1.8%-0.2%
15 Jun 2022+1.1%+1.1%+1.7%-1.2%
2 Aug 2024+1.1%-0.8%+0.1%-1.8%
6 Jan 2023+1.1%+0.8%0.0%+0.8%
15 Mar 2023+1.0%+0.4%+0.2%-1.5%
9 Oct 2023+1.0%-0.6%+0.5%+5.2%

BND in the rare moves record