ASML's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1408 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
15 Oct 2024-16.3%-1.3%-7.8%+2.7%
17 Jul 2024-12.7%-6.4%-0.4%-21.6%
2 Aug 2024-8.4%+6.3%+4.5%-16.9%
16 Jul 2025-8.3%-5.0%+0.1%+30.3%
23 Jun 2026-7.8%+11.9%+1.4%-1.7%
1 Jul 2026-7.4%-2.1%-11.6%-1.6%
16 Jun 2022-7.4%+10.1%+6.5%-0.2%
14 Sep 2026-7.3%+8.7%+9.1%pending
17 Apr 2024-7.1%-1.7%+1.3%+1.8%
16 Apr 2025-7.1%+6.3%+17.8%+15.7%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 Apr 2025+15.4%-7.6%+2.8%+16.7%
10 Nov 2022+14.6%+5.0%+8.8%+19.2%
11 Jun 2026+9.5%+1.6%-6.5%-10.6%
5 Jun 2024+9.5%+2.6%+3.5%-23.6%
16 Mar 2022+9.0%+2.3%-8.1%-22.3%
31 Jul 2024+8.9%-10.7%-5.2%-23.7%
24 Jan 2024+8.9%+2.7%+10.1%+5.3%
2 Jan 2026+8.8%+9.5%+19.9%+12.0%
8 Apr 2026+8.8%+4.3%+6.7%+27.0%
9 Mar 2022+8.4%+4.7%+0.6%-8.7%

ASML in the rare moves record