ARKF's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 5 Nov 2026 (1409 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2022 | -10.3% | -1.5% | +8.6% | +10.5% |
| 11 May 2022 | -9.6% | +11.3% | +8.0% | +29.7% |
| 5 May 2022 | -9.5% | -20.5% | -10.0% | -2.1% |
| 13 Jun 2022 | -9.4% | +4.2% | +2.8% | +15.9% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | -8.3% | +0.1% | +14.4% | +59.3% |
| 10 Mar 2025 | -7.9% | +5.7% | -11.7% | +35.1% |
| 24 May 2022 | -7.6% | +7.7% | +6.6% | +9.9% |
| 26 Jul 2022 | -7.1% | +13.0% | +12.1% | -6.3% |
| 16 Jun 2022 | -6.9% | +20.0% | +17.3% | +16.5% |
| 13 Sep 2022 | -6.8% | -5.0% | -13.8% | -12.6% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 10, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2025 | +14.2% | -3.1% | +12.3% | +53.0% |
| 13 May 2022 | +12.4% | -2.3% | -17.7% | +13.6% |
| 10 Nov 2022 | +12.2% | +0.2% | -2.3% | +13.8% |
| 16 Mar 2022 | +11.7% | +9.9% | -5.5% | -40.6% |
| 4 Oct 2022 | +8.8% | -11.7% | -8.2% | -13.8% |
| 9 Mar 2022 | +8.7% | +1.3% | +2.9% | -27.6% |
| 31 Jan 2022 | +8.4% | -4.2% | -9.5% | -31.8% |
| 3 Aug 2022 | +8.0% | +4.1% | -14.1% | -16.9% |
| 27 Jul 2022 | +7.6% | +13.4% | +7.0% | -7.6% |
| 17 Oct 2022 | +7.4% | -0.8% | +9.9% | +5.5% |