ARKF's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

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Close-to-close daily changes from 30 Mar 2021 to 5 Nov 2026 (1409 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 May 2022-10.3%-1.5%+8.6%+10.5%
11 May 2022-9.6%+11.3%+8.0%+29.7%
5 May 2022-9.5%-20.5%-10.0%-2.1%
13 Jun 2022-9.4%+4.2%+2.8%+15.9%
3 Apr 2025-8.3%+0.1%+14.4%+59.3%
10 Mar 2025-7.9%+5.7%-11.7%+35.1%
24 May 2022-7.6%+7.7%+6.6%+9.9%
26 Jul 2022-7.1%+13.0%+12.1%-6.3%
16 Jun 2022-6.9%+20.0%+17.3%+16.5%
13 Sep 2022-6.8%-5.0%-13.8%-12.6%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 4 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 Apr 2025+14.2%-3.1%+12.3%+53.0%
13 May 2022+12.4%-2.3%-17.7%+13.6%
10 Nov 2022+12.2%+0.2%-2.3%+13.8%
16 Mar 2022+11.7%+9.9%-5.5%-40.6%
4 Oct 2022+8.8%-11.7%-8.2%-13.8%
9 Mar 2022+8.7%+1.3%+2.9%-27.6%
31 Jan 2022+8.4%-4.2%-9.5%-31.8%
3 Aug 2022+8.0%+4.1%-14.1%-16.9%
27 Jul 2022+7.6%+13.4%+7.0%-7.6%
17 Oct 2022+7.4%-0.8%+9.9%+5.5%

ARKF in the rare moves record