AR's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 3 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1427 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
4 Apr 2025-13.7%-1.1%+6.1%+9.4%
9 May 2022-11.2%+3.3%+42.9%+13.7%
14 Jun 2022-10.7%-12.2%-14.1%+10.1%
21 Jul 2025-10.5%+0.4%-8.1%-5.3%
1 Dec 2021-9.9%+8.8%+10.5%+51.5%
28 Dec 2022-9.8%-9.6%-8.4%-26.7%
27 Jan 2025-9.5%+5.4%+1.9%-1.2%
18 Mar 2021-9.5%+6.1%+1.1%+41.5%
29 Apr 2021-9.0%+13.3%+39.6%+47.1%
23 Sep 2022-8.5%-0.7%+7.7%+5.9%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
10 Mar 2021+11.9%-0.9%-11.1%+32.9%
23 May 2022+11.6%+8.9%-21.9%+7.3%
15 Feb 2024+10.9%+7.2%+8.8%+45.2%
15 Sep 2021+10.3%-6.1%+10.4%-8.0%
7 Jul 2022+10.3%+0.1%+15.4%+5.8%
21 Feb 2024+9.5%-0.7%+4.8%+34.1%
14 May 2021+9.4%+7.8%+16.9%+6.5%
2 Feb 2022+9.1%-11.9%+16.0%+76.4%
18 May 2023+8.6%-4.9%-9.1%+14.3%
3 May 2021+8.5%+12.5%+32.9%+33.3%

AR in the rare moves record