APD's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 8 Mar 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1424 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
5 Feb 2024-15.6%+2.1%+11.5%+14.4%
7 Nov 2023-12.6%+5.5%+3.0%-13.0%
8 Dec 2025-9.5%+3.8%+10.7%+17.6%
2 Feb 2023-7.1%-2.9%-0.8%-0.9%
4 Apr 2025-7.0%+2.1%+1.6%+11.7%
4 Feb 2022-6.3%-7.1%-16.8%-9.8%
3 Aug 2023-5.8%+1.6%+5.7%+1.2%
22 Jul 2024-5.5%+6.9%+10.0%+34.4%
7 Feb 2025-5.4%+1.8%-4.0%-12.1%
9 May 2023-5.3%-1.6%+1.2%+2.6%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 10, 6 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
7 Oct 2024+9.5%+2.4%-2.0%-7.9%
1 Aug 2024+9.0%-2.9%-3.0%+9.5%
6 Nov 2025+8.9%+1.6%-8.8%+10.7%
9 Apr 2025+8.7%-3.3%+0.3%+8.7%
30 Jun 2026+8.0%+1.2%+2.4%-4.8%
3 Nov 2022+7.7%+9.7%+19.3%+7.8%
30 Jan 2026+6.4%+3.9%+0.2%+10.5%
4 Aug 2022+4.9%+2.7%-4.3%-4.2%
12 Mar 2026+4.6%-2.2%+2.8%-4.3%
15 Feb 2024+4.6%+2.6%+8.2%+14.1%

APD in the rare moves record