AON's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
31 Aug 2026-9.5%-1.8%-14.0%pending
29 Apr 2022-9.3%-0.6%-4.3%-2.5%
9 Feb 2026-9.3%+5.0%+2.1%+0.6%
25 Apr 2025-8.0%+6.3%+8.9%+10.1%
26 Apr 2024-6.9%-1.5%-1.8%+12.3%
20 Dec 2023-6.0%-1.6%+3.5%+11.3%
14 Dec 2023-5.2%-9.4%-4.6%+0.8%
28 Jul 2023-5.1%-1.3%+3.9%+0.2%
4 Apr 2025-4.7%+0.1%-4.5%-5.4%
9 Jun 2025-4.7%-1.1%+1.5%+3.5%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 9, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 9 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
26 Jul 2021+8.2%+3.5%+11.3%+27.8%
26 Jul 2024+8.0%+2.4%+4.8%+10.7%
10 Nov 2022+5.4%-0.2%+3.8%+8.6%
4 Feb 2022+5.4%-2.7%-4.9%-1.5%
30 Apr 2021+5.3%+2.8%+0.7%+3.6%
25 Oct 2024+5.2%-2.8%+4.0%-2.1%
9 Mar 2022+5.1%+6.4%+14.6%-8.2%
16 Mar 2023+4.6%+1.3%+10.3%+10.9%
25 Jul 2025+4.6%-5.2%-0.5%-8.5%
4 Nov 2026+4.4%pendingpendingpending

AON in the rare moves record