AJG's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next

Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.

Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.

Biggest one-day falls

Of these 10, 5 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
9 Feb 2026-9.8%-1.7%-3.7%-8.8%
14 Dec 2023-7.4%-1.8%+3.1%+12.0%
4 Apr 2025-7.3%+4.6%+6.0%-1.5%
29 Jul 2025-6.7%-0.9%+3.6%-3.2%
29 Apr 2022-6.0%-2.4%-3.9%+2.7%
16 Oct 2025-5.4%+0.8%-7.7%-7.7%
27 Jan 2026-5.1%+2.2%-7.1%-11.9%
31 Oct 2025-4.8%+0.2%-2.1%-0.7%
14 Oct 2022-4.6%+2.9%+9.0%+15.1%
30 Jul 2026-4.6%-1.8%+4.3%+1.7%

Biggest one-day rises

Of these 7, 3 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 7 · could be chance.

DateOne-day changeAfter 5 sessionsAfter 21 sessionsAfter 63 sessions
28 Oct 2022+6.2%-0.1%+3.8%+4.1%
15 Oct 2026+5.5%+8.3%pendingpending
4 Nov 2026+5.5%pendingpendingpending
14 Sep 2026+5.4%-6.4%-7.9%pending
2 Jul 2026+5.3%+0.3%-1.8%-8.0%
22 Oct 2026+4.9%-1.0%pendingpending
28 Jul 2026+4.7%-6.5%-0.1%+0.8%
1 Jul 2026+4.4%+5.9%+4.1%-4.6%
30 Mar 2026+4.3%+0.8%-1.9%+6.3%
2 May 2025+4.2%+2.1%+4.3%-13.9%

AJG in the rare moves record