AFL's biggest one-day moves since 2021, and what happened next
Describes the past; not a signal. Pre-licensed data — internal estimates, to be re-verified after our licensed data rebuild.
Close-to-close daily changes from 1 Apr 2021 to 4 Nov 2026 (1406 sessions). Later changes are measured from the close on the day of the move.
Biggest one-day falls
Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | -9.7% | +2.5% | +5.3% | +11.0% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | -8.7% | +4.8% | +3.8% | +1.8% |
| 2 Feb 2023 | -6.0% | +1.1% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | -4.8% | +2.5% | +6.8% | +2.3% |
| 1 May 2025 | -4.7% | +2.7% | +0.8% | -4.7% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | -4.3% | +0.8% | -0.2% | pending |
| 1 Mar 2022 | -4.3% | +1.3% | +12.0% | +4.3% |
| 3 Dec 2024 | -4.2% | -2.4% | -3.4% | +2.1% |
| 11 Apr 2024 | -4.0% | +1.7% | +8.1% | +17.0% |
| 6 Feb 2025 | -3.9% | +1.0% | +4.1% | +3.7% |
Biggest one-day rises
Of these 10, 7 were higher 21 sessions later · n = 10 · could be chance.
| Date | One-day change | After 5 sessions | After 21 sessions | After 63 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | +6.6% | -0.8% | +9.1% | +8.8% |
| 27 Apr 2023 | +6.2% | -3.8% | -6.6% | +4.9% |
| 2 Aug 2023 | +5.7% | -0.7% | -1.6% | +3.0% |
| 9 Apr 2025 | +5.5% | +1.9% | +0.6% | -3.0% |
| 24 Jun 2022 | +4.0% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +4.3% |
| 13 Oct 2022 | +4.0% | -0.9% | +17.8% | +22.8% |
| 25 Feb 2022 | +3.9% | -3.0% | +5.4% | -3.9% |
| 4 Oct 2022 | +3.7% | -3.2% | +11.1% | +20.5% |
| 10 Nov 2022 | +3.6% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +2.1% |
| 2 Aug 2022 | +3.6% | +2.9% | +1.8% | +11.6% |